BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
UNC Wilmington
Class: 1 Class Rank: 329 Conference: Colonial Record: (2-16) Overall: (5-24) Overall Strength = 21.96
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home L 15.87 46 57 ZZ 8 ( 1- 1) Lenoir-Rhyne -6.65 -4.35
2 11-13-2022 Away L 22.42 49 76 1 95 ( 20- 9) East Carolina -0.10 * -26.90
3 11-16-2022 Home W 22.52 84 59 ZZ 102 ( 0- 1) Mt Olive 0.00 25.00
4 11-22-2022 Home L 31.21 66 67 1 188 ( 22- 9) Wofford 8.69 -9.69
5 11-27-2022 Away L 21.91 60 67 1 292 ( 14- 17) Radford -0.61 -6.39
6 12-01-2022 Home W 30.67 79 61 1 355 ( 8- 22) Winthrop 8.15 9.85
7 12-04-2022 Away L 16.20 36 78 1 59 ( 15- 15) Virginia -6.32 * -35.68
8 12-07-2022 Away L 43.65 42 64 1 19 ( 21- 10) North Carolina 21.13 * -43.13
9 12-18-2022 Away L 22.53 53 68 1 218 ( 14- 16) Coastal Car 0.01 -15.01
10 12-21-2022 Away W 28.12 60 51 1 351 ( 9- 21) W Carolina 5.60 3.40
11 12-23-2022 Home L 30.18 38 42 1 192 ( 23- 6) Norfolk St 7.66 -11.66
12 12-29-2022 Home L * 14.49 47 71 1 138 ( 21- 8) Drexel -8.03 -15.97
13 01-06-2023 Away L * 18.56 54 75 1 182 ( 17- 12) Stony Brook -3.96 -17.04
14 01-08-2023 Away L * 0.42 51 92 1 147 ( 18- 11) Northeastern -22.10 -18.90
15 01-13-2023 Home L * 22.47 62 63 1 299 ( 10- 19) Hofstra -0.05 -0.95
16 01-15-2023 Away L * 28.95 34 38 1 267 ( 11- 17) Hampton 6.43 -10.43
17 01-20-2023 Home W * 30.35 62 58 1 274 ( 9- 20) Elon 7.83 -3.83
18 01-22-2023 Home L * 24.84 52 55 1 246 ( 14- 15) Monmouth NJ 2.31 -5.31
19 01-27-2023 Away L * 21.61 48 62 1 236 ( 17- 12) William & Mary -0.91 -13.09
20 02-03-2023 Away L * 22.96 63 71 1 1 265 ( 11- 17) Col Charleston 0.44 -8.44
21 02-05-2023 Home L * 21.39 56 66 1 235 ( 18- 11) NC A&T -1.13 -8.87
22 02-10-2023 Away L * 3.12 47 83 1 191 ( 16- 13) Delaware -19.40 -16.60
23 02-12-2023 Away L * 25.28 44 60 1 164 ( 19- 10) Towson 2.76 -18.76
24 02-17-2023 Home L * 17.83 53 63 1 267 ( 11- 17) Hampton -4.69 -5.31
25 02-19-2023 Home L * 16.44 46 64 1 182 ( 17- 12) Stony Brook -6.08 -11.92
26 02-24-2023 Home W * 41.84 63 47 1 265 ( 11- 17) Col Charleston 19.32 -3.32
27 02-26-2023 Away L * 8.51 44 72 1 235 ( 18- 11) NC A&T -14.01 -13.99
28 03-02-2023 Away L * 21.47 42 52 1 274 ( 9- 20) Elon -1.05 -8.95
29 03-04-2023 Home L * 27.30 69 78 1 147 ( 18- 11) Northeastern 4.78 -13.78
Averages 22.52 53.4 64.1
Best game: 43.65 = 22 point loss to North Carolina
Worst game: 0.42 = 41 point loss to Northeastern
Team stdev: 9.41